MIFTAH
 
 
 
Your Key to Palestine
 
 
 
 

The future of the Palestinian economy is highly dependent on the existence of a viable private sector able to interact and integrate with its regional Arab surroundings and to draw on resources available at the national, regional and international levels. This will help move the Palestinian economy from one based on labor exports to Israel and on being fully dependent on the Israeli economy for survival, to one that is capable of providing employment opportunities for its citizens and producing enough goods and services to be exported to Israel, the Arab region and the world at large. The economic dimension of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict deserves as much attention as the political one, since economics play an important role in reducing instability.

The Palestinian private sector is believed to be among the more vigorous and resourceful in the region and Palestinian entrepreneurs have proved remarkably resilient throughout the crisis years. Although private sector activities have declined considerably since mid 2000, a period that saw the Palestinian economy plunged into a deep crisis, the enterprise culture of Palestinians during this period nevertheless became well entrenched, and the private sector learned how to operate under very difficult conditions. Several institutions had to shut down, but those who survived stand today on quite a solid foundation. They are well positioned to spearhead economic activities if and when a sense of security and stability is restored to the Palestinian territories.

The World Bank's June 23, 2004 report entitled "Disengagement, the Palestinian Economy and Settlements" warns of the potential complete disintegration of the Palestinian economy under the sustained pressure of conflict and Israeli closure policies. The report describes a society which has in the past four years experienced a recession of historic proportions. Nearly half of the 3.7 million Palestinians living in the West Bank and Gaza survive on less than $2 a day, compared with 20 percent of the population in 1999. Unemployment had risen to 28.6 percent by mid 2004, compared to 10 percent in 2000 and the jobless rate among the youth is close to 40 percent. The Palestinians' per capita GDP has plunged 41 percent since 1999. Israel's policy of siege and closure is blamed for the deteriorating humanitarian and economic conditions in the territories. Up until October this year, 12,537 Palestinians, or close to 2,242 families, have had their homes demolished by Israel - these do not include homes of activists and suicide bombers that were bulldozed as well. Hundreds of small businesses and shops were also destroyed and Israel is still confiscating and destroying agricultural land and groves, deemed the only lifeline for many Palestinians, to make room for the "security wall" under construction. As a result, the strong social cohesion that characterizes Palestinian life has started to crack, leading to conditions of anarchy potentially ruinous to the Palestinians, the Israelis and the whole region.

The government of Israel stated its intentions to eliminate by the end of 2007 the permit system for Palestinians working in Israel and to discontinue the Custom Union agreement that it has with the Palestinian territories after its withdrawal from Gaza in 2005. It has therefore become imperative for the Palestinian economy to reduce its overwhelming dependence on the Israeli economy. But creating a viable Palestinian economy will not happen overnight. An orderly economic adjustment process is needed to help maintain the territories' political and social stability.

Today there is a potential opening to address the root causes of the Palestinian territories economic crisis. Israel is preparing for the first time to evacuate settlements established in Gaza and the Palestinians are holding presidential elections on Jan. 9, 2005, to be followed in May with parliamentary elections. A new Palestinian leadership will soon take office and will have the legitimacy to represent the Palestinian people in negotiations with Israel and the rest of the world.

Israel is called upon to end its system of restrictions on the movement of people and goods in the West Bank and Gaza. It is these various closure measures and more than 700 check points and barriers that are the main cause of four years of Palestinian economic distress. Israel's security will greatly be enhanced if the Palestinian territories regain their economic stability and the daily suffering of the Palestinian people comes to an end. Israel also needs to reform the management of border gateways to allow goods and cargo to move in and out of the Palestinian territories in an orderly and fast way.

An easing of closures alone will not attract investors back to the Palestinian economy. A program of economic reform and proper governance is required in order to create an investor-friendly business environment. The Palestinian Authority needs to control lawlessness, improve the security situation, develop a solid judicial system and address concerns about transparency and corruption. A new income tax law is needed to reduce the burden on private sector institutions and encourage investment and growth.

The donor countries are called upon to provide generous financial support of $2 billion annually (nearly $500 per capita), twice the current levels, with about half earmarked for reconstruction and the rest allocated for humanitarian and budget support.

Several supportive elements are already in place that would make it easier for private sector activities to take off once conditions of security and stability prevail. These include the existence of several free trade agreements with the US, the EU and the Arab countries, allowing duty free access of Palestinian exports to these markets. A developed banking sector is in place comprising both domestic banks and 58 branches of Jordanian banks providing sophisticated banking services to the Palestinian territories. There is a viable stock market in Nablus, open to international investors, allowing Palestinian companies to draw on capital resources available domestically and internationally. Remittances sent back home by Palestinian expatriates working mostly in the Gulf countries and estimated at around $1.5 billion annually will constitute an important and stable revenue source for the Palestinian economy for several years to come, boasting domestic consumption and contributing to higher growth.

Increasingly more Arab tourists are opting to spend their vacation in other counties of the region. If conditions of stability and security prevail, the Palestinian territories will attract many Arab visitors, especially those interested in historical and religious heritage. Tourism, which is labor intensive, is likely to be a high growth sector in the territories in the years ahead.

Cross border mergers and acquisitions are expected to take place once conditions of stability prevail. Institutions in the Gulf countries, Jordan or Egypt with ambition for regional expansion would establish a presence in the Palestinian territories or acquire businesses there, especially in the fields of telecom, IT, banking, insurance tourism etc. and would transfer technology, management and capital resources to these counter-parties.

The Jordanian private sector will be the reservoir for its Palestinian counterpart to draw upon when needed to support growth and development. This is facilitated by the strong socio-demographic ties and family relationships that exist between Jordanians and Palestinians. The kind of support and services provided by branches of Jordanian banks operating in the Palestinian territories could very well be replicated by insurance and construction companies, hotels, hospitals, universities, industrial enterprises and various other professional services.

 
 
Read More...
 
Footer
Contact us
Rimawi Bldg, 3rd floor
14 Emil Touma Street,
Al Massayef, Ramallah
Postalcode P6058131

Mailing address:
P.O.Box 69647
Jerusalem
 
 
Palestine
972-2-298 9490/1
972-2-298 9492
info@miftah.org

 
All Rights Reserved © Copyright,MIFTAH 2023
 
Subscribe to MIFTAH's mailing list
* indicates required