MIFTAH
Thursday, 25 April. 2024
 
Your Key to Palestine
The Palestinian Initiatives for The Promotoion of Global Dialogue and Democracy
 
 
 

On May 9, a day after Israel officially celebrated its 60th anniversary, Hamas claimed responsibility for a mortar attack on Kfar Aza in southern Israel which killed one Israeli citizen. Jimmy Kdoshim [48] became the 14th victim of rocket and mortar attacks on Israel from Gaza in the last seven years.

Hamas, who recently signed a ceasefire proposal in Egypt with Egyptian Intelligence chief Omar Suleiman and which will be presented to Israel early next week after being agreed to by 12 other Palestinian factions, responded to the attack through spokesperson Abu Obeida who declared that “we will continue to fire until the last moment before a truce is completed”. His comments came just three days after another Hamas spokesperson Sami Abu Zuhri warned that “a truce is one of the options to stop the suffering of the Palestinians, however we will not put ourselves and our people under this in light of the continuation of the attacks”.

The last victim of a rocket attack on Israel was Roni Yechiah, whose death at the end of February preceded operation “Hot Winter”, an Israeli offensive which killed approximately 120 Palestinians in Gaza. In an immediate reprisal for the attack on Kfar Aza, Israeli aircraft fired missiles into two Hamas police stations in Khan Younis killing five activists – Bassam Ahmad Abu Shbeikah [23], Mohammed Mazen Abu I’rmanah [25], Mohammed Abu Odah, Omar al-Ser and Samir Wafi.

Current events in Gaza may thwart a supposed deal between Hamas and Egypt for the Rafah crossing to be open for three days on Saturday. Hamas official Ayman Taha stated that sick Gazans would be able to leave on May 10 while Palestinians who possess Egyptian or foreign passports would be able to leave on May 11 and 12. News of the border opening came as the blockade on Gaza once again deteriorated. On May 4, UNRWA spokesman Chris Gunness admitted that “we have exhausted our stocks of fuel, and are therefore forced to stop our food distributions to 1.5 million inhabitants in the Gaza Strip”. The next day, UNRWA did report that they had received new fuel supplies but Chris Gunness stipulated that “we have managed to pull back from the brink, but it is entirely unacceptable that a humanitarian and human resources organization like UNRWA should have been pushed to the brink in the first place”.

Meanwhile on May 8, hundreds of thousands of Israelis took to the streets to partake in and watch parades, aerial displays, concerts and military base tours in commemoration of Israel’s independence. Although David Ben-Gurion declared independence on May 14 1948, according to the Jewish calendar the 60th birthday this year falls almost a week earlier. Next week, Israeli President Shimon Peres will host US President G. W. Bush, French President Nicholas Sarkozy, Tony Blair, Henry Kissinger, Mikhail Gorbachev, Rupert Murdoch and Google co-founder Sergey Brin to mark the anniversary.

However, Israeli independence is still a very contentious topic among their Palestinian neighbors. Whereas Israel proudly marks the date of their independence, on May 15 Palestinians will remember al-Nakba, the “catastrophe” which saw 800,000 Palestinians expelled by Israel from their homes in historic Palestine. Currently there are approximately 5.5 million refugees spread over the Palestinian territories, Syria, Lebanon and Jordan. Their return is seen as a prerequisite for peace on the Palestinian side while Israel believes it is simply unpractical that they will ever be able to return.

As Israel celebrated its 60th anniversary and its subsequent achievements, Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert was preoccupied with more personal problems. Not for the first time since assuming the premiership, Olmert was questioned by police last week. Originally the details were rather unsure as the investigating police issued a gag on proceedings. After the gag was lifted it was revealed that Olmert was the key figure of a police inquiry into allegations of bribery.

On May 9, Olmert was receiving calls from all corners for resignation after he admitted taking money from an American businessman Morris Talansky who was treasurer of the New Jerusalem Foundation [a charity set up by Olmert in 1999]. According to U.S. tax records, this charity declared more than $855,000 in donations from 1999 to 2002 with Mr. Talansky openly responsible for helping fund two Jerusalem major campaigns within this time. Despite Olmert not denying this, the premier maintained that “I look each and every one of you in the eye and say, I never took bribes. I never took a penny for myself”. However, Olmert stressed that he would only resign if the attorney general could produce conclusive evidence saying “although not required by law, if the attorney general decides to file an indictment against me I will resign”.

On the inevitability of his departure, columnist for the Yedioth Ahronoth Nahum Barnea thinks “it is doubtful Olmert can survive…if not because of the Talansky affair…then because of the cumulative effect of all the ongoing investigations against him”. Conversely, supporters of Olmert, such as his Vice Premier Haim Ramon believe that he has the ability and resolve to weather the storm. The question remains – what will happen if Olmert is ousted? The most obvious option is that Foreign Minister and Chief Israeli negotiator Tzipi Livni will succeed Olmert and press on with the peace process. In addition, Livni has been told by the small but influential ultra-Orthodox Shas party that they would remain in government if she does not disrupt the status quo between religious and secular factions. However, if it came down to elections, Benjamin Netanyahu and his right wing Likud party have an overwhelming lead in the polls. The former prime minister does not hold the peace process with Palestinians as a priority and recently asked “is it ethical for Olmert to lead negotiations with the Palestinians while he is under investigation?’ Then there is Defense Minister Ehud Barak and his Labor Party, Olmert’s largest coalition ally. The incumbent Defense Minister cannot be considered to succeed Olmert as he is not a member of Knesset and has been unusually quiet with one aide predicting that “Barak will bide his time…we could probably live with a Livni-led coalition”.

There were mixed feelings in the Palestinian camp concerning the probe into Olmert’s dealings and its potential effects on the peace process. Negotiator Saeb Erekat understood that it was an internal Israeli issue but emphasized that Palestinians would be inspecting very closely as the outcome will have a huge effect on their peace process with Israel. Another member of the Palestinian negotiating team Yasser Abed Rabbo asserted that it made no difference as there has been no progress between Palestinians and Israelis while President Abbas’ aide Nabil Abu Rdainah said that it has no bearing on the Palestinian side because Palestinians are able to discuss terms with any Israeli leader: “We even dealt with Sharon”.

Despite varying opinions, it is evidently clear that the current problems with Olmert can not help the peace process, which saw US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice travel back and forth from Israel and the West Bank on May 4 and 5 hoping to push the peace process along.

The top US diplomat did not publicly criticize her close Israeli allies but stated that roadblocks and settlement expansion in the West Bank were not conducive for a peace agreement to exist and assured Palestinians that the US would continue to pressure Israel on these points. Israeli spokesperson Mark Regev and his Palestinian counterpart Saeb Erekat revealed that Rice’s visit was extremely positive ushering in discussions on final status issues which were amongst some of the most serious of talks to date. They commended Rice’s dedication towards reaching an agreement by the end of President Bush’s term and expressed how they had made significant improvements on borders and Israeli security concerns. In addition, Rice added that monitors should “get out among the communities, talk to the people who are trying to get through checkpoints and really get a sense of how the movements and access is working”.

Condoleezza Rice left with no solid or tangible developments but merely more promises. Since the last time she visited, a UN report described how Israel had only removed 44 “obstacles” instead of the 61 it had promised [there are some 560 “obstacles in the West Bank]. In any case, the 44 which were removed were thought to be dirt mounds which had little or no importance on Palestinian movement. Furthermore, Rice did not manage to receive any sort of commitment from Israel to stop settlement expansion in the West Bank – an Israeli obligation under stage one of the roadmap and a major barrier to a peace agreement.

The Secretary of State’s visit was planned to occur just one week before President Bush travels to Israel to celebrate Israel’s 60th anniversary from May 13-18. The US President intends to revitalize the peace talks between Israel and Palestine, viewing the situation to be one of immense difficulty, especially when dealing with what the US considers barriers to peace such as Hamas but stressed that “I’m still hopeful we’ll get an agreement by the end of my presidency”.

However, President Bush’s Middle East trip will also see him go to Saudi Arabia to discuss the rising oil prices and Egypt where he will meet his counterpart Hosni Mubarak as well as Iraqi and Afghan leaders.

With regard to the peace process, the War and Peace Index, a survey conducted by Tel Aviv University, reported that 70% of the Jewish public support the creation of a Palestinian state alongside Israel but 70% also do not believe in the chances of reaching a deal with Palestinians despite the renewed peace talks.

On May 4, Hossam al-Najar [40] was killed when a missile struck his home in Khan Younis following an Israeli incursion by tanks and helicopters.

Furthermore, on May 6 in Beit Lahliya, Hisham Shumer [23] of the al-Qassam Brigades was killed in an air strike which was targeting mortar launching squads.

A member of Islamic Jihad died on May 7 when an Israeli offensive involving armored vehicles, bulldozers and aerial drones entered into Khan Younis.

Wafa al-Dagma [33] was killed in Khan Younis on May 8 when a tank shell struck her home.

Lastly, on May 9, a 21-year old Palestinian was shot dead by Israeli settlers in Ein Yabrud, northeast Ramallah, after an exchange of fire between members of al-Aqsa Brigades and Israeli settlers ensued.

Since the Annapolis peace summit at the end of November, nearly 500 Palestinians have been killed while the number of Israelis killed in the same period has reached 27.

 
 
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