أهم العناوين:

• تزايد مضطرد في خسائر السلطة الوطنية في الضفة الغربية وخسائر حماس في قطاع غزة
• انخفاض نسبة الذين يعتقدون بأن المجتمع الفلسطيني يسير بالاتجاه الصحيح من 49% إلى 30%
• 79% من سكان غزة يعتقدون بأن المجتمع الفلسطيني يسير بالاتجاه الخاطئ
• 66% من سكان الضفة و37% من سكان غزة يصرحون بأن الأوضاع الأمنية تدهورت في مناطق سكنهم
• انخفاض ملفت في نسبة المؤيدين لاندلاع انتفاضة جديدة من 63% إلى 42%
• 79% يعارضون حل السلطة الوطنية الفلسطينية وعودة السيطرة إلى الاحتلال مقابل 14% يؤيدون حلها
• 72% يرون بأن المواجهات الحالية أثرت على قراراتهم بشأن الاستثمار أو قرارات الصرف المالي للأسرة
• ثلث المستطلعين سمعوا أو قرأوا خطاب الرئيس عباس الذي ألقاءه في بيت لحم مؤخرا
• 53% يتفقون مع عبارة الرئيس ""البعض يفكر بأن السلطة ستنهار وأنا أقول أنها لن تنهار"
• 50% يتفقون مع عبارة الرئيس "لا يوجد لأي حزب سياسي خيارات أخرى حقيقية سوى خيار السلطة"
• 56% من سكان غزة يتفقون مع قول الرئيس أن "حماس لا تريد حكومة وحدة وطنية ولا تريد انتخابات"، ويتفق مع هذه العبارة 27% من سكان الضفة فقط
• 56% يؤيدون فكرة استحداث منصب نائب لرئيس السلطة الفلسطينية، مقابل 30% يعارضون ذلك
• غالبية كبيرة قدرها 80% يؤيدون إجراء الانتخابات التشريعية والرئاسية حالا، وترتفع نسبة الـتأييد للانتخابات في غزة إلى 92%
• إذا جرت الانتخابات التشريعية اليوم 36% من سكان الضفة و30% من سكان غزة غير مقررين لمن سيصوتون أو لن يصوتوا
• انتخابات رئاسية: 36% يصوتون للرئيس عباس، مقابل 22% لهنية و41% غير مقررين أو لن يصوتوا

رام الله-أوراد

أظهرت أحدث نتائج استطلاع للرأي العام الفلسطيني نفذه معهد العالم العربي للبحوث والتنمية "أوراد"، انخفاضا كبيرا في التأييد لاندلاع انتفاضة ثالثة من 63% في استطلاع تشرين الثاني 2015 إلى 42% في الاستطلاع الحالي، بينما يعارض اندلاعها 54%. وبنفس الوقت، صرح 50% من المستطلعين بأنهم يعتقدون أن حدوث انتفاضة ثالثة قد يؤخر خطوات إقامة الدولة الفلسطينية المستقلة، وعارضهم في الرأي 40% من المستطلعين. كما صرح 79% من المستطلعين بأنهم يعارضون خيار حل السلطة الوطنية الفلسطينية وعودة السيطرة الكاملة في الضفة الغربية إلى الاحتلال في ضوء الأحداث الحالية. وحول تأثير الجولة الحالية من المواجهات على قرارات المستطلعين وأسرهم بالاستثمار أو بقرارات الصرف المالية كشراء الأراضي أو السفر أو التعليم، فقد صرح 72 بأن هذه المواجهات قد أثرت عليهم بشكل ملحوظ. أما فيما يخص الاستعدادية للاستثمار في ظل هذه الأجواء، فقد صرح 65% بأنها لا تساعد على الاستثمار أبدا. وفي الوقت ذاته، يؤيد 80% إجراء انتخابات رئاسية وتشريعية فورا، وتزداد نسبة التأييد لإجراء انتخابات إلى 92% في قطاع غزة.

جاءت هذه النتائج ضمن استطلاع أجري بتاريخ 27-28 كانون الثاني 2016، والذي جاء بعد خطاب الرئيس محمود عباس في الأمم المتحدة الذي ألقاه من بيت لحم بتاريخ 6 كانون الثاني 2016، والذي أكد فيه على العديد من القضايا أهمها؛ أن الحل المطلوب هو دولتين فلسطينية وإسرائيلية تعيشان جنبا إلى جنب على حدود 1967 والقدس الشرقية عاصمة، مشددا على أن السلطة الوطنية الفلسطينية لن تنهار وأن الأحزاب السياسية ليس لديها خيارات أخرى، كما تحدث عن العديد من القضايا ذات العلاقة بعملية السلام وسبل التحرك باتجاه اقامة الدولة الفلسطينية وعاصمتها القدس. وفي نفس السياق، انقسم المستطلعون حول تصريحات الرئيس الأنفة الذكر، حيث اتفقت معه غالبية بالنسبة لمسألة حل السلطة وعدم توفر بدائل أخرى للسلطة الحالية، بينما اختلفت معه غالبية أخرى بالنسبة لنهج المفاوضات وتقييمه لدور حماس في مسائل الوحدة الوطنية والانتخابات.

وجاءت هذه النتائج ضمن عينة عشوائية تم اختيارها بشكل علمي ومكونة من 1200 من البالغين الفلسطينيين من كلا الجنسين في الضفة الغربية وقطاع غزة، وضمن نسبة خطأ +3%. وأجري الاستطلاع تحت إشراف الدكتور نادر سعيد– فقهاء، مدير عام أوراد. النتائج التفصيلية متاحة للأفراد المهتمين، وللمؤسسات، ولوسائل الإعلام على الموقع الالكتروني للمركز على www.awrad.org)). وفيما يلي أهم النتائج :

للاطلاع على النتائج بالتفصيل

The latest poll on the Palestinian public opinion prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali revealed the following:

• (81 %) of the Palestinians do not – to various degrees – trust the commitments of Israel and its obligations to the agreements signed with the Palestinian Authority.
• (59%) oppose the return of the relations with Israel, (38 %) agree to it.
• (55 %) oppose the resumption of the security coordination with Israel, (40 %) agree to it.
• (52 %) oppose the resumption of the peace negotiations with Israel, (43 %) agree to it.

Beit Sahour –Public Relations’ Section:

The latest poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali and conducted by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (www.pcpo.org) during the period 19 – 22 November 2020 covered a random sample of (516) Palestinian respondents representing the various demographic specimens of Palestinians (18 years and above) living in the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and Gaza Strip. It revealed that the Palestinians are almost split between agreeing to and opposing the return of the relations with Israel and the resumption of the security coordination with it, albeit the opposition scale outweighs a little.

This poll, Dr. Kukali said, focuses mainly on the decision of the Palestinian Authority to resume the relations with Israel that are terminated since 5/9/2020

in response to the intention of the Israeli government to annex about 30 % of the area of the West Bank with full support of the US administration under President Donald Trump.

Dr. Kukali further noted that the motivation to take this courageous step by the Palestinian Authority was a letter from the Israeli government addressed to the PA confirming its willingness to abide by all the agreements signed with the PA.

Dr. Kukali added that the majority of the Palestinian people, in this poll, expressed however their mistrust of Israel’s intentions, as its actions on the ground speak another language. Nevertheless, the Palestinian people are still hopeful that they will have one day their own independent and sovereign State of Palestine with East Jerusalem it’s capital.

Dr. N. Kukali, President and founder of the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion, said the details of the key results of this poll are as follows:

Trusting Israel

Responding to the question: “What is the extent of your trust to Israel’s commitments and its obligations to the agreements previously signed with the Palestinian Authority?” (71 %) said “I’m not so sure”, (10 %) said “I’m not sure at all”, (9 %) “somewhat sure”, (6 %) “quite sure” and (4 %) said “I don’t know”.

Return of the relations with Israel

With regard to the question: “Do you agree to the return of the relations with Israel to their former status as they have been before 5/19/2020, or not?” (59 %) said “I oppose”, (38 %) “agree”, and (3 %) said “I don’t know”.

Reasons of agreeing to the return of the relations with Israel

In respect of the question: “What are the reasons that let you agree to the return of the relations with Israel?”, (5.6 %) said “crisis of the salary payment of employees”, (4.4 %) said “security stability and calm”, (26.9 %) said “improvement of the economic situation”, (9.4 %) “peace and stability”, (16.9 %) “permits and work in Israel”, (2.5 %) “the clearance funds”, (3.8 %) “permits to the hospitals and admission of patients for treatment”, (3.8 %) “facilitation of livelihood”, (8.8 %) said “lifting the siege from Gaza and opening the border-crossings”, (6.9 %) “due to the life connected with Israel”, (7.5 %) “for serving the citizens” and (3.5 %) “no reason”.

Security coordination with Israel

(55 %) of the Palestinians oppose the resumption of the security coordination with Israel, whilst (40 %) agree to it, and (5 %) declined to respond.

Resumption of the peace negotiations

(52 %) of the Palestinian public oppose the resumption of the peace negotiations between the Palestinian Authority and Israel at present, whilst (43 %) of them agree to it and (5 %) declined to respond.

The economic situation

(61 %) of the Palestinian public assessed their economic situation at present as “bad”, (32 %) as “fair” (middle) and only (7 %) as “good”.

Survey overview

Dr. Nabil Kukali, said that the data for this survey has been collected by using CATI, an effective method for data collection in quantitative researches conducted by phone. By this method, questions are addressed to respondents from a previously designed questionnaire. The survey sample is randomly taken in accordance with a long experienced methodology applied by PCPO covering (516) respondents, (311) are from the West Bank and (205) from Gaza Strip.

Dr. Kukali has further indicated that the margin of error was (±4.38 %) at a significance level of (95.0%). The sample allotment with respect to the residential areas was as follows: (60.3 %) in the West Bank, incl. Eastern Jerusalem and (39.7 %) in Gaza Strip. The average age of the respondents was (32.4) years.

The overwhelming majority of the Palestinians views the decision of the UAE to normalize relations with Israel as a betrayal or abandonment of the Palestinian cause, one that serves only the interests of Israel. A similar majority thinks that Saudi Arabia and Egypt, by endorsing that normalization, have in effect abandoned the Palestinian leadership. But most Palestinians also place the blame on themselves because they are divided and have normalized relations with Israel long before others

9-12 September 2020

This poll has been conducted in cooperation with the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung in Ramallah

These are the results of the latest poll conducted by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research (PSR) in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip between 9-12 September 2020. The period before the conduct of the poll witnessed several developments including a US announcement about an agreement between the UAE and Israel to normalize relations between the two countries. This normalization agreement stipulated an Israeli suspension or delay of the planned annexation of parts of the West Bank. The period also witnessed a rise in the daily number of coronavirus infections and continued stalemate in Palestinian-Israeli relations that followed a PA decision to sever all security and civil links with Israel which led during the past months to a significant financial loss to the PA. This PA decision came in response to an Israeli announcement about the intention to annex about 30% of the West Bank. This press release addresses these issues and covers other matters such as Palestinian parliamentary and presidential elections, general conditions in the Palestinian territories, the peace process and the future possible directions for Palestinians in the absence of a viable peace process. Total size of the sample is 1270 adults interviewed face to face in 127 randomly selected locations. Margin of error is +/-3%.

For further details, contact PSR director, Dr. Khalil Shikaki, or Walid Ladadweh at tel. 02-296 4933 or email pcpsr@pcpsr.org.

Main Findings:

Finding of the September 2020 poll show a great Palestinian public anger with the UAE decision to normalize relations with Israel viewing it as serving only the interests of Israel and as a betrayal or an abandonment of the Palestinian cause and at the same time as a big failure of Palestinian diplomacy. Additionally, the overwhelming majority estimates that the Palestinian leadership has lost its Arab allies as Saudi Arabia will soon follow the UAE in normalizing relations and that Egypt, by endorsing the deal, has in effect abandoned PA president Mahmoud Abbas. Nonetheless, most believe that the majority of the Arab public is opposed to the normalization deal. Findings show that the public blames the Palestinians

themselves for this development: the split between the West Bank and the Gaza Strip and the fact that they had normalized relations with Israel before many others may have hastened the arrival of this day.

The public does not show an appreciation of the fact that the UAE-Israel deal requires the suspension of the annexation plan. The reason for this is the fact that three quarters think that the suspension is only temporary and will soon take place, the normalization deal notwithstanding. Moreover, based on this assessment, the public is opposed to the restoration of PA-Israel security coordination despite the fact that half of the public wishes to restore civil and fiscal relations between the two sides.

Findings also show a significant decline in support for the two-state solution compared to the situation three months ago. They also show that the consensus in rejecting the Trump plan, the deal of the century, first documented in PSR’s February 2020 poll, remains unchanged. Similarly, the overwhelming majority remains opposed to a resumption of contacts with the Trump administration. Despite the majority expectation that Trump will lose the upcoming US presidential elections, only one fifth expects positive policy change if the Democratic candidate Joe Biden wins.

Domestically, findings show continued satisfaction with the PA measures to contain the spread of the coronavirus pandemic despite significant decline in the level of satisfaction, especially with the prime minister’s performance. Moreover, a majority is opposed to the severing of coordination and cooperation with Israel in the fight against the spread of the coronavirus.

Demand for the resignation of president Abbas rises in this poll. Parallel to this, satisfaction with the performance of the president has declined. As a result, if elections were held today, Hamas’ Haniyyeh would win a majority of the public vote. This development might have been boosted by the current economic difficulties in the West Bank resulting from the severing of civil and fiscal coordination with Israel and the resulting inability of the PA to pay the public sector in full. Findings also show a drop in the perception of safety and security in the West Bank and an increase in the desire to emigrate. Despite these developments, the popularity of Fatah in the West Bank is not negatively affected; to the contrary, the findings show a little improvement in its popularity.

(1) UAE-Israel normalization agreement:

• A majority of 63% view the normalization agreement between the UAE and Israel as a major event that represents a significant regional shift while 32% view as minor development.
• Findings show a consensus (86%) that the agreement serves only the interests of Israel while 8% think it serves the interests of both the Palestinians and the Israelis and only 1% think it serves the interests of the Palestinians only.
• We asked the public to pick one word that represents its sentiments toward the normalization agreement: the majority (53%) picked “betrayal,” 17% picked “abandonment” 13% “insult,” 9% “indifference,” 6% “sadness,” while only 1% picked words like “satisfaction,” “pride,” and “joy.”
• Most Palestinians (57%) believe that the majority among the Arab public is opposed to the normalization agreement while 20% believe an Arab majority supports it.
• A large majority (70%) believes that other Arab countries, such as Bahrain, Oman, Sudan, and Morocco, will sign similar agreements with Israel while 24% believe they will not do that.
• An overwhelming majority (80%) believes that Saudi Arabia has given the green light to the UAE to sign the normalization agreement and a similar majority (82%) believes that Saudi Arabia too will sign a similar public agreement.
• Similarly, an overwhelming majority of the public (78%) believes that the Egyptian position welcoming the agreement represents an abandonment of the Palestinian leadership led by Abbas while 18% do not share this view.
• A majority of 55% believes that Mohammad Dahlan was one of the participants in the making of the UAE-Israel normalization agreement while 24% do not share this view.
• Nonetheless, a majority of 53% believes that the blame for the normalization deal falls on the shoulders of the Palestinians themselves due to their division and due to the fact that they have recognized Israel and normalized relations with it long before the others; 42% disagree with this view.
• Also, a majority of 62% views the UAE defection from the previous declared Arab consensus on Palestine as a great failure for Palestinian diplomacy; 31% do not share this view.

(2) Annexation and the severing of relations with Israel in post UAE-Israel normalization:

• Three quarters of the public (75%) believe that the normalization agreement forces Israel to merely postpone annexation while 19% think it forces it to put an end to it.
• Now, after the normalization agreement, a majority of 62% is opposed to the restoration of security coordination with Israel while 32% are in favor of restoring it.
• But half of the public (50%) supports, and 45% oppose, the restoration of civil and fiscal coordination with Israel.
• If Israel conditioned resumption of civil and fiscal coordination with a resumption of security coordination, a majority of 59% will oppose, and 35% will support, the resumption of relations.
• In response to an actual Israeli annexation of Palestinian territories, the public is divided on how to respond. When asked to choose one of five possible responses, 28% favored resumption of armed struggle, 20% selected stopping the implementation of the Oslo agreement, another 20% favored return to negotiations with Israel and the US on the basis of a Palestinian peace plan, 19% preferred waging nonviolent resistance, and 6% selected the abandonment of the two-state solution in favor of a one-state solution.
• The public indicates great worries about the future in case of continued severing of relations with Israel.
• For example, 74% say they are worried that Israel will stop transfer of clearance revenues, which would mean that the PA would not be able to pay the public sector. 75% say they are worried that patients would not be able to travel from the Gaza Strip to the West Bank or Israel for medical treatment. 77% are worried that they would soon witness shortages or complete cut-off in supplies of water and electricity from Israel.
• 59% are worried that armed clashes would erupt with Israel. Another 59% are worried that the PA would collapse or fail to deliver services. 70% are worried that security chaos and anarchy would return to Palestinian life. Finally, 60% say they are worried that they would not be able to travel abroad via Jordan.
• It is interesting to note that despite the great worry, a majority of the public (63%) does not believe that the PA has in fact ended security coordination with Israel and only 30% believe it indeed did.
• A majority of 61% does not expect Israel to resume its military rule and that of its civil administration now after Abbas’ decision to sever relations with Israel and his invitation to Israel to assume full responsibility for the occupied territories. One third (32%) expects Israel to do so.
• A large majority of 75% says it does not prefer the return of Israeli military rule or civil administration while only 21% say they do prefer that.

(3) The Peace process and the US “Deal of the Century”:

• Support for the concept of the two-state solution declines to 39% and opposition stands at 58%. No description or details were provided for the concept.
• Three months ago, support for the concept stood at 45%.
• A majority of 62% believes that the two-state solution is no longer practical or feasible due to the expansion of Israeli settlements while 31% believe that the solution remains practical. Moreover, 77% believe that the chances for the creation of a Palestinian state alongside the state of Israel in the next five years are slim or nonexistence while 20% believe the chances to be medium or high.
• The most preferred way out of the current status quo is “reaching a peace agreement with Israel” according to 27% of the public while 36% prefer waging “an armed struggle against the Israeli occupation.” 14% prefer “waging a non-violent resistance” and 14% prefer to keep the status quo. Three months ago, 28% said that they prefer reaching a peace agreement with Israel and 38% said they prefer waging an armed struggle.
• When asked about the most effective means of ending the Israeli occupation, 41% chose armed struggle, 24% negotiations, and 26% popular resistance. Three months ago, 45% chose armed struggle and 24% chose negotiations.
• We asked the public about the Trump plan, known as the “deal of the century:” 92% say they oppose it and 5% say they support it. Three months ago, 88% expressed opposition to the plan.
• If the Palestinians accept the Deal of the Century, what are the chances that such acceptance would lead to the end of the Israeli occupation and to the building of a Palestinian state? 55% think the chances are zero; 26% think the chances are less than 50%; and only 16% think that the chances are 50% or more.
• A majority of 71% is opposed and 19% are not opposed to a resumption of dialogue between the Palestinian leadership and the Trump Administration.
• Official contacts between the PA and the US government were suspended by the PA after the US, in December 2017, recognized Jerusalem as the capital of Israel. Three months ago, 69% said they were opposed to the resumption of dialogue with the US.
• A majority of 61% expects president Trump to lose the next US presidential election and 30% expect him to win it. Nonetheless, only 21% expect a positive change if Biden wins while 34% believe US policy will not change and 35% expect it to become worse.

(4) PA performance during the COVID-19 pandemic:

• A two-third majority (68%) is satisfied with the measure taken by the PA to prevent travel between the various governorates in order to contain the Coronavirus pandemic.
• Similarly, the findings show that the majority is satisfied with the performance of the various entities and individuals involved in the management of the Coronavirus crisis. For example, 64% express satisfaction with the performance of the security services deployed in their areas and 57% are satisfied with the performance of the governor in their area. On the other hand, satisfaction with the performance of the prime minister Mohammad Shtayyeh stands at 48% today compared to 62% three months ago.
• The majority indicates that it has been harmed economically as a result of the pandemic: 70% say their income or salary has been reduced; 61% say their income or salary has been stopped; and 52% say they stopped working or became unemployed.
• A majority of 55% say that are dissatisfied with the PA decision during the past several months to stop cooperation and coordination with Israel in the health sector with the aim of combating the coronavirus, 42% are satisfied with that decision.

(5) Legislative and presidential election

• 62% of the public want president Abbas to resign while 31% want him to remain in office. Three months ago, 58% said they want Abbas to resign. Demand for Abbas’ resignation stands at 54% in the West Bank and 74% in the Gaza Strip.
• Level of satisfaction with the performance of president Abbas stands at 31% and dissatisfaction at 63%. Level of satisfaction with Abbas stands at 36% in the West Bank and 24% in the Gaza Strip. Three months ago, satisfaction with Abbas stood at 36% (44% in the West Bank and 24% in the Gaza Strip).
• If new presidential elections were held today and only two were nominated, Mahmoud Abbas and Ismail Haniyeh, the former would receive 39% and the latter 52% of the vote (compared to 42% for Abbas and 49% for Haniyeh threw months ago). In the Gaza Strip, Abbas receives 32% of the vote (compared to 32% three months ago) and Haniyeh receives 62% (compared to 61% three months ago). In the West Bank, Abbas receives 46% (compared to 51% three months ago) and Haniyeh 42% (compared to 38% three months ago). If the competition was between Marwan Barghouti and Ismail Haniyeh, Barghouti receives 55% and Haniyeh 39%. If the competition is between prime minister Mohammad Shtayyeh and Haniyyeh, the former receives 41% and the latter 51%.
• We asked in an open-ended question about potential Abbas successors: If president Abbas does not nominate himself in a new election, 22% prefer to see Marwan Barghouti replacing him, while 18% prefer Ismail Haniyeh. Mohammad Dahlan is preferred by 7% (1% in the West Bank and 15% in the Gaza Strip), Mohammad Shtayyeh is preferred by 5%, Mustafa Barghouti by 4%, Khalid Mishal by 3%, and Salam Fayyad by 2%.
• We also asked the public about its willingness to participate in the upcoming elections and if so, to whom it will vote. If new legislative elections were held today with the participation of all factions, 61% say they would participate in such elections. Of those who would participate, 34% say they will vote for Hamas and 38% say they will vote for Fatah, 8% will vote for all other third parties combined, and 20% are undecided. Three months ago, vote for Hamas stood at 34% and Fatah at 36%. Vote for Hamas in the Gaza Strip stands today at 45% (compared to 47% three months ago) and for Fatah at 30% (compared to 28% three months ago). In the West Bank, vote for Hamas stands at 23% (compared to 23% three months ago) and Fatah at 46% (compared to 42% three months ago).

(6) Domestic conditions:

• Positive evaluation of conditions in the Gaza Strip stands at 5% and positive evaluation of conditions in the West Bank stands at 16%.
• Nonetheless, perception of safety and security in the Gaza Strip stands at 71% and in the West Bank at 57%.
• 24% of the public say they want to emigrate due to political, security, and economic conditions. The percentage in the Gaza Strip stands at 25% and in the West Bank at 24%. Three months ago, only 18% of West Bankers expressed a desire to emigrate.
• Perception of corruption in PA institutions stands at 80%. Three months ago, 81% expressed a similar view.
• The public is divided over its assessment of the PA: a majority of 62% views it as a burden on the Palestinian people while 33% view it as an asset for the Palestinian people. Three months ago, only 52% viewed the PA as a burden.
• A year and a half since the formation of the Shtayyeh government, findings indicate persistent pessimism. Responding to a question about expectations regarding the ability of the Shtayyeh government to make progress in reconciliation and reunification, 60% expect failure; only 31% expect success. In a similar question about the ability of the new government to organize legislative or legislative and presidential elections in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, a majority of 58% expects failure and 33% expect success.
• In another question about the ability of the new government to improve economic conditions, a majority of 61% expects failure and 32% expects success.
• An overwhelming majority of the public (80%) is opposed to the arrest by the PA security services of activists who were planning to demonstrate or were demonstrating against corruption in the PA while 17% support these arrests.
• 56% (66% in the West Bank and 41% in the Gaza Strip) believes that it will not receive a fair trial if it finds itself in a Palestinian court while 36% (23% in the West Bank and 55% in the Gaza Strip) believe that will receive a fair trial. Six month ago, 42% said it believes it will receive a fair trial.
• A majority of 64% (75% in the West Bank and 49% in the Gaza Strip) thinks that the Palestinian judiciary rules according to whims and interests; 31% disagree and believe that it rules according to the law. Six month ago, 41% said the judiciary and courts rule according to the law.
• We asked the public about its viewership habits in the last three months. Findings indicate that Al Jazeera TV viewership remains the highest, standing at 19%, followed by Palestine TV (15%), Al Aqsa TV (13%), Maan TV at 12%, Palestine Today TV at 11%, Al Arabiya and al Mayadeen at 4% each, and finally al Manar at 2%.

(7) Reconciliation:

• 37% are optimistic and 59% are pessimistic about the success of reconciliation. three months ago, optimism stood at 29%.
• Similarly, 41% believe that unity will not be resumed and that two separate entities will evolve in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip while 45% believe unity will eventually return but only after a long time and only 11% believe unity will return soon.

(8) Muslims in China:

• 80% of the Palestinians believe that if press reports about the treatment of the Uighur Muslims in China are true, Palestinians should condemn the Chines policy towards its Muslim community and 15% disagree with that.
• An overwhelming majority of 79% indicates that it does not believe the statement of the Chinese government that the camps built by China to allegedly detain the Uighur Muslims are in fact teaching centers aiming at eradicating extremism; 10% believe the Chinese statement.
• Similarly, an overwhelming majority of 83% believes that world Muslims should express solidarity with the Uighur Muslims against the Chinese government while 10% disagree with that.
• An overwhelming majority of 80% approves of the Turkish president Erdogan’s decision to transform the Hagia Sophia museum into a mosque; 16% disapprove.

(9) Most vital Palestinian goals and the main problems confronting Palestinians today:

• 42% believe that the first most vital Palestinian goal should be to end Israeli occupation in the areas occupied in 1967 and build a Palestinian state in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip with East Jerusalem as its capital. By contrast, 29% believe the first most vital goal should be to obtain the right of return of refugees to their 1948 towns and villages, 15% believe that the first and most vital goal should be to build a pious or moral individual and a religious society, one that applies all Islamic teachings; 13% believe it should be to establish a democratic political system that respects freedoms and rights of Palestinians.
• The most serious problem confronting Palestinian society today is poverty and unemployment in the eyes of 27%, the spread of corruption in public institutions in the eyes of 25%, the continuation of occupation and settlement activities in the eyes of 24%, the continued siege of the Gaza Strip and the closure of its crossings in the eyes of 13%, and the lack of national unity in the eyes of 10%.

The latest poll on the Palestinian public opinion prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali revealed the following:

• (55.5%) believe that the decision of the Palestinian Authority to end the security and civil coordination with Israel was a right decision, (49.1 %) are among the residents of the West Bank, and (65 %) residents of Gaza Strip.

• (52.3%) believe that the cessation of the security and civil coordination with Israel will negatively affect the economic and living conditions of the Palestinian people.

• (48.7%) believe that ending the security and civil coordination will negatively affect the restriction of the spread of corona epidemic (Covid-19). .

The latest poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali and conducted by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (www.pcpo.org) during the period from June 14-22, 2020 covered a random sample of (1250) Palestinian respondents representing the various demographic specimens of Palestinians (18 years and above) living in the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and Gaza Strip. It revealed that (55.5 %) of the Palestinian public believe that the decision of the Palestinian Authority to end the security and civil coordination with Israel was a right decision.

Dr. Nabil Kukali, President and founder of the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion, said that the suspension of the security and civil coordination came as response to the Israeli position, that is supported by President Tramp to annex vast regions of the West Bank that makes up around (30 %) of the area of the West Bank, including the Jordan Valley region, the region north of the Dead Sea and the settlements to its sovereignty, the matter that the Palestinians consider as ultimate undermining of the opportunity to establish their own independent state.

Dr. Kukali further added that the poll results unveil that there is a fear of deterioration of the economic and living conditions in the Palestinian Territories as well as the mutual cooperation in restricting the spread of the corona-virus (COVID-19).

Dr. Kukali said the details of the key results of this poll are as follows:

Cessation of the Coordination as a Right Decision

(55.5 %) of the Palestinian public believe that the decision of the Palestinian Authority to end the security and civil coordination with Israel was a right decision; (49.1 %) of them are residents of the West Bank, and (65 %) residents of Gaza Strip, whilst (44.5 %) of the Palestinians, (50.9 %) of them in the West Bank and (35 %) in Gaza Strip, believe that the decision was wrong.

The results in detail further reveal that the governorates with the positive attitude towards the decision are in the West Bank in the following order: Al-Bireh & Ramallah (81.8 %), Jerusalem (62.8 %), Jericho (55.6 %), Hebron (52.9 %), Salfit (52.2 %), Nablus (43.3 %), Toubas (37.5 %), Toulkarem (37.3 %), Jenin (34 %), Qalqilia (27.8 %) and Bethlehem with (15.9 %) the least positive attitude.

On the other hand, the governorates with the negative attitude towards the decision are in the West Bank in the following order: Bethlehem (84.1 %), followed by Qalqilia (72.2 %), Jenin (66 %), Toulkarem (62.7 %), Toubas (62.5 %), Salfit (47.8 %), Nablus (56.6 %), Hebron (47.1 %), Jericho (44.4 %), Jerusalem (37.2 %) and Ramallah (18.8 %).

In Gaza Strip, the governorates with the positive attitude towards the PA decision are in the following order: Rafah (78.1 %), followed by Deir al-Balah (75.9 %), Gaza City (63.9 %), Khan Younis (61.1 %) and North Gaza (54.9 %).

Cessation of the Coordination and the Economic Situation

Responding to the question:” Do you think that the cessation of the security and civil coordination with Israel will improve the economic and living conditions of the Palestinian people or rather worsen them ?, (18.7 %) said “will improve them”, (52.3 %) “will worsen them”, (15.8 %) “will have no effect” and (13.2 %) said “I don’t know”.

Cessation of the Coordination and the Restriction of Corona-virus (COVID-19)

With regard to the question:” In view of the coordination between the Palestinian Authority and Israel on restricting COVID-19, do you think that ending the security and civil coordination between them would negatively affect this COVID-19 coordination, or not ?, (48.7 %) said “will negatively affect”, (21.7 %) said “will remain unchanged” and (29.6 %) have no opinion.

Will the Cessation of the Coordination impede the Annexation of Jordan Valley and the Settlements ? In respect of the question:” Some people in the Palestinian Territories believe that ending the security and civil coordination between the PA and Israel will impede the Israeli annexation of vast areas of the West Bank (Jordan Valley and the settlements) by Israel, while others believe that it will boost the annexation of these areas by Israel. Which of these two opinions is closer to yours ?, “(28.1 %) said “it will impede Israel”, (35.1 %) “it will encourage Israel to annex these areas”, (26.5 %) “the decision of the PA will have no effect on the annexation” and (10.3 %) said “I don’t know”.

Seriousness of the Palestinian Authority

Responding to the question:”Up to which extent do you believe that the PA will adhere to its decision of terminating the security and civil coordination with Israel ?”, (12.5 %) said “to a great extent”, (37 %) “to a fair extent”, (35.3 %) “to a little extent” and (15.2 %) have no opinion.

The Need for Civil Coordination

With respect of the question addressed to the West Bank respondents:”If you were in need for a coordination or for getting a job, or going to a hospital in Israel, would you go to the bureaus of the Israeli civil administration or to the Palestinian liaison bureaus “, (22 %) said “I would go to the bureaus of the Israeli civil administration”, whilst (56.6 %) said they “would go to the Palestinian liaison bureaus”, and (21.4 %) said “ I don’t know”.

Methodology of the Survey Study in the Palestinian Territories

Dr. Nabil Kukali, said that all interviews of this survey were conducted inside the respondents' homes. The choices were randomly taken in accordance with a long experienced methodology applied by PCPO from a total of (180) sites, (135) are from the West Bank and (45) from Gaza Strip.

Dr. Kukali has further indicated that the margin of error was (±2.77 %) at a significance level of (95.0%). He added that the rate of the female respondents in this survey was (49.6%) against (50.4%) male respondents. The sample allotment with respect to the residential areas was as follows: (63.0 %) in the West Bank, incl. Eastern Jerusalem and (37.0 %) in Gaza Strip. The average age of the respondents was (31.5) years.

For following up the most recent polls of the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion, please revert to our website: www.pcpo.org

Immediately after the historic visit of President D. Trump to the region, and with the conclusion of the local elections in the West Bank and during the hunger strike in Israeli prisons, Arab World for Research and Development (AWRAD) conducted a national public opinion poll May 21-23 among 5,00 Palestinians (18+) in the West Bank and Gaza Strip. The poll focused on the following issues: the Palestinian hunger strike in Israeli prisons, the visit of President Abbas to Washington and the visit of US President D. Trump to the region, and the after math of the local elections. The margin of error for this poll is 4 percent. The poll can be found online at www.awrad.org or call us at 0599204527.

Optimism about the hunger strike and discontent with the positions of the institutions and the leadership: 88 percent believed that the Palestinian political prisoners will achieve some or all of their demands. Two thirds were dissatisfied with the performance of President Abbas as well as Hamas towards the strike. A majority believed that the strike revived the Palestinian cause at the international level, while others believed that it strengthened the profile and influence of Marwan Barghouthi.

Negotiations and Trump’s Visit: A majority view President Abbas’s visit to Washington and that of President Trump to the region as more symbolic than leading to real change. Two thirds of the respondents believed that Abbas’s visit to Washington was unsuccessful. A majority believed that Trump’s visit has no or little importance to the Palestinians. In addition, 57 percent believed that President Trump is not serious about reaching a deal between the Palestinians and Israelis.

At the same time, Palestinians continue to be divided around the resumption of negotiations, and less than half expect that future negotiations will lead to a two-state solution.

Local Elections: Local elections were carried out in the West Bank on the 13th of May. The majority of voters expressed non-political motives for the participation.45 percent viewed their participation as a civic personality while 15 percent viewed it as an opportunity to support their family candidate. Refraining from voting was mostly due to the absence of any list or the fact there was only list running in many communities. In addition, many registered voters believed that the competing lists did not offer real change or that the results of the elections were predetermined.

PA’s cuts to public sector salaries and services in Gaza: The majority of respondents view these cuts as politically motivated either to pressure Hamas into negotiating a solution to the ongoing division or to force Hamas to take full responsibility for Gaza. Others believe that they are initiated to satisfy Western demands that the PA end Hamas’ rule in Gaza. 51 percent oppose the continuation of these cuts.

To View The Full Result as PDF

The following press release presents the results of an online survey of Palestinian youth (18-35 years old) in the West Bank and Gaza, conducted in March 2017. The survey measures support for upcoming local elections in the West Bank, knowledge of recent clashes in Balata Refugee Camp, daily priorities, and sources of news and information.

Among the findings:

• Overall, 60 percent of youth support local elections, planned to be held exclusively in the West Bank this May. However, support is geographically stratified, with only 46 percent of Gaza supporting the holding of elections, compared to 40 percent who oppose. Among West Bank respondents, only 53 percent say they intend to vote (a much lower rate than previous elections).

• 86 percent of respondents say they are aware of recent security incidents in Nablus’ Balata Refugee Camp. Overall, respondents place equal blame on the Palestinian Authority (PA) and the camp militants. Regionally, however, Gaza respondents are more likely to fault the PA.

• Employment and the cost of living are the two greatest concerns of youth, constituting 75 percent of responses.

• 69 percent of youth identify social media as their primary source for news and 21 percent news websites. Only 5 percent cite television as their primary source, compared to 1 percent who select newspapers. However, the primary use of social media and the Internet among youth is communicating with friends (34 percent). This is followed by news (26 percent) and culture and education (19 percent).

• While official and semi-official sources of news and information are viewed by the majority as objective (63 percent) and reliable (66 percent) - or “somewhat” so - the majority of youth do not believe these sources are progressive (55 percent) or portray Palestinians in the best light (57 percent).

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The following are findings from AWRAD’s most recent online survey, conducted from the 19th to the 27th of December. 230 Palestinian opinion leaders in the West Bank and Gaza participated in the survey, which measured perceptions of the recent Fatah Congress. Respondents included political leaders, civil society leaders, academics, youth and women leaders, journalists, and Fatah-Congress members. For the full results, please refer to www.awrad.org.

Results of Fatah’s Congress: Respondents are divided on the significance and impact of Fatah’s 7th Congress. Respondents split almost evenly with approximately one-third believing the Congress strengthened, weakened or had no effect on the party.

Respondents are less divided when assessing the Congress’ broader impact on Palestine with a plurality believing it had no impact (40 percent). A plurality (43 percent) is also doubtful that the Congress was a positive expression of democracy. Respondents in the West Bank are more positive than those in Gaza when assessing these issues.

Fatah’s Internal Elections: 44 percent of respondents believe that Fatah is more democratic than other political parties, though 39 percent believe it is roughly the same.

A majority also believes Fatah’s internal elections were to some extent transparent and fair. However, a majority (51 percent) is dissatisfied with the overall representation, as well as the representation of women (54 percent). Again, responses in Gaza are less positive than in the West Bank.

Fatah’s Platform: The majority of respondents (51 percent) do not believe that the platform adopted by the Congress represents a significant change from the previous one.

23 percent believe it is a regression with respondents in Gaza more likely to believe this is the case.

Congress’ Beneficiaries: When asked who gained the most from the Congress, a majority (60 percent) of respondents identifies President Abbas.

Fatah Leaders: The most respected figure in Fatah’s Central Committee is Marwan Barghouthi (38 percent), followed by Jibril Rajoub (11 percent) and Nasser al Qidwa (10 percent).

The Future: With the conclusion of the Congress, a plurality (40 percent) of respondents believes Abbas should focus on new elections at all levels. Roughly one-quarter (24 percent) believes he should focus on reconciliation with Hamas. Three percent believes the peace process should be the President’s goal.

To View the Full Result as PDF

The following are highlights from AWRAD’s most recent national poll in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, conducted 10-12 July 2016, sample size 1,200. For the full results, please refer to www.awrad.org.

Stagnation: A simple majority (a higher rate in the West Bank) reports that security has diminished. Economically, a plurality in the West Bank states that their family’s situation has remained the same as a year ago, while a majority in Gaza states that their situation has deteriorated. Correspondingly, a majority of Palestinians believes that Palestine is currently heading in the wrong direction. Overall, the data reflects stagnancy in popular sentiments. Compared with national surveys from the previous two years, a growing number of respondents, and in some instances a majority, believes that things are not changing; neither improving nor worsening. Nevertheless, a simple majority of respondents remains optimistic about the future.

Internal Violence & Crime: There has been a notable spike in internal violence and crime in recent months that has negatively impacted the lives of average Palestinians. West Bank respondents attribute events to moral and social decay within Palestinian society, followed by an inability of PA security forces to enforce the rule of law, combined with weak economic growth and declining social services. Gaza respondents, however, identify frustration with economic and social circumstances as the primary cause.

Weapon Possession & Enforcement: Palestinians, particularly in the West Bank, are split in their evaluation of the security agencies’ response to recent events with an overwhelming majority in both the West Bank and Gaza of the belief that the PA and its security agencies should impose harsher measures to deal with private weapon possession.

Local Elections: Half of all respondents are aware that the PA has declared that local elections will be conducted in the West Bank on October 8, 2016. A simple majority plans to vote, with the remainder undecided or planning not to vote.

West Bank & Local Elections: If Hamas - which now says that it will participate - does not run in the local elections, a third of West Bank respondents state that they will not vote.

Gaza & Local Elections: A majority of Gaza respondents support the conduct of local elections in Gaza, simultaneous with those in the West Bank. If local elections are not conducted in Gaza on October 8, a simple majority of Gazans says they would hold Hamas responsible.

Political Parties & Local Elections: A simple majority of West Bank respondents say they are uncertain who they will vote for or that they will not vote in scheduled October local elections. In Gaza, the number of undecided is only half that of the West Bank. Among those who intend to vote, a Fatah list is currently the most popular, followed by a Hamas list.

Support for Presidential & Parliamentary Elections: A majority of Palestinians continue to support the immediate conduct of presidential and legislative elections.

Political Leadership: With President Abbas indicating his intent to retire, Marwan is the preferred presidential candidate in a presidential contest. Ismail Haniyeh is the second most popular choice, followed by Mohammad Dahlan, who derives his support almost exclusively from Gaza.

Fatah Leaders: Among Fatah leaders, Marwan Barghouti remains the first choice of respondents followed by Dahlan, Saeb Eraikat, Majed Faraj Jibril Rajoub and Naser al Qidwa.

Hamas Leaders: Ismael Haniyeh currently tops Khaled Mesha’al as the preferred choice amongst Hamas figures in a presidential contest.

To View the Full Result as PDF