MIFTAH
Friday, 19 April. 2024
 
Your Key to Palestine
The Palestinian Initiatives for The Promotoion of Global Dialogue and Democracy
 
 
 

Since coming into power, Ahmad Qurei, much like his predecessor, has had only one plan, which centers on achieving a unilateral Palestinian ceasefire, with the hopes that this would lead to a truce with the Israelis. Skepticism regarding the ability to bring Hamas in line led many to declare the Cairo talks a failure, as Hamas appeared resolute in continuing its militant activities. Yet, most of the media and many analysts failed to realize that while Hamas remains relatively young and inexperienced, its long term goal has always been to grow into the more prestigious realm of politics.

Hamas has always used its attacks to further its political ambitions and likewise it will refrain from attacking if this was seen beneficial to the overall survival and continued development of its organization. Therefore, it was not a surprise when on Friday, it was reported that Hamas had taken a strategic decision to call off attacks inside Israel.

Doubtlessly, three main factors are influencing Hamas in this direction. The first consideration on Hamas’ mind is its desire to curb Israeli assassination operations, in order to protect its top echelons. The second reason for wanting a ceasefire is to ease world attention on its militant activities and hence relax the urgency with which the international community has been freezing the movement’s funds. This was clearly communicated in a meeting on Sunday with Steve Cohen, a member of the US Council on Foreign Relations, who was told by Hamas that it wants the US to remove it from the list of terrorist organizations and lift the financial sanctions that have been imposed on the movement in return for a halt on attacks inside Israel. Finally, Hamas is eager to distance itself from the various militant groups that appear to be imitating the movement, in search of power that Hamas must be reluctant to share.

In its desire to be a credible alternative to Fatah, Hamas’ greatest asset has been its ability to sense the Palestinian mood on the street. Accordingly, Hamas is sensing a declining support for suicide attacks and knows if it is going to survive beyond the violence and reap the benefits of a peace deal between the Palestinians and Israelis, ergo emerging as a viable opposition party to Fatah, it must have a more complex agenda than mere militancy.

Hamas’ reported decision to stop attacks on Israel has already elicited Israeli military willingness to withhold targeting Hamas. Israeli army chief, Moshe Yaalon, told the Yediot Ahronot newspaper that "it is possible that we will reach a cease-fire in the coming weeks." Adding that "the Palestinian-Israeli conflict will be with us for many years to come, but I believe we have now passed the peak of the violent struggle." If Hamas manages to achieve even an unofficial understanding with Israel regarding attacks, it would place itself in a far more favorable position than the other Palestinian factions and would constitute a growing threat to Fatah’s current dominance.

If Hamas harbors true intentions to commit to a ceasefire, why then did the Cairo talks seemingly end without success? Simply put, it is probable that Hamas privately signaled its willingness to support Ahmed Qurei in his attempts to achieve a truce, while publicly maintaining its expected rhetoric in the hopes of positioning itself for the best possible outcome, which currently would see the alleviation of mounting pressure on the movement from the US and Israel.

 
 
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