Palestinian Public Opinion Poll - Living Conditions/National Dialogue and the Referendum/ Evaluation of Institutions
By Birzeit University
June 07, 2006

1. The Referendum: (Yes) to the Referendum

  • 77% support President Abbas’s call to hold a referendum if political parties do not come to agreement based on the (Prisoners Declaration); 21% do not support such a call.
  • 77% will vote (YES) to the (Prisoners’ Declaration), while 14% will vote (NO).
  • 81% support Abbas’s call to adopt the (Prisoners’ Declaration) as the basis for dialogue and Palestinian future vision.
  • 74% support the view that the PLO is the sole and legitimate representative of the Palestinians.
  • 83% support that Hamas and Islamic Jihad join the PLO.
  • 84% support the establishment of the Palestinian state over the 1967 territory of the West Bank, Jerusalem and Gaza.
  • 83% support that (resistance) be restricted in the Occupied Territories.
  • 94% support a commitment to a democratic political system and regular elections.

2. Political Support: Decline in support for Hamas; Fateh does not gain

  • Willingness to vote for Hamas declined from 50% (5 April 2006) to 37% now, bringing its vote to an equal standing with Fateh (also at 37%).
  • General support for Hamas is, however, at 33%, while support for Fateh is at 36%.(Comment: need to explain the difference between willingness to vote for a party and ‘general support’ for it?)
  • 25% consider themselves as independents, over 2% support PFLP, while all other parties score 1% or less each.

3. Use of Mosques as Political Platforms: No to using mosques as political platforms

  • 68% oppose the use of mosques as a platform for agenda promotion by the Palestinian Prime Minister, other ministers and political groups; 28% support such action.
  • 41% believe that mosques are used (always or sometimes) to instigate against some Palestinian leaders, while 51% disagree.
  • 58% feel that preachers in mosques have a positive role in confronting the current Palestinian crises, while 32% disagree.

4. The Role of Media: More doubt than support

  • 43% believe that the media (Arab satellite stations and local media) play a positive role in confronting the current crises, while 49% find them to have a negative effect.
  • 50% feel that some media outlets instigate against some Palestinian leaders, while 41% feel otherwise.

5. Evaluation of President and Government: support for leaders; but split over government

  • 48% evaluate the performance of President M. Abbas as (good) – a 5 points increase from (29 April 2006) poll. In addition, 26% feel it is (medium), while 23% evaluate his performance as (weak).
  • 57% evaluate the performance of Prime Minster I. Hanneyeh as (good), with no change from previous poll. In addition, 20% feel it is (medium), while 16% evaluate his performance as (weak).
  • 31% evaluate the overall performance of the current government as (good). In addition, 30% evaluate it as (medium), while 36% evaluate its performance as (weak) – indicating a 9 point increase in negative evaluation from previous poll.
  • 54% believe that the current government distributes the money that it collects through donations in an (unfair) manner, while 31% disagree.
  • 21% support the continuation of the present Hamas – led government, while 64% would like to replace it with a national unity government. Support for a technocratic government is at 12%.
  • 62% feel that the current government is (serious) about its intentions to resolve the current crises, while 32% feel that the government is not serious.
  • 42% feel that the current government is capable of resolving the current crises, while 48% feel otherwise.

6. Funding: Split over government’s handling of funding; but no concessions for money by Hamas

  • 26% believe that the government is handling the funding crisis in an appropriate manner. In addition 32% believe that its handling of the crises is (medium), while 34% believe that it is (inappropriate).
  • While continued polling show a majority support for a two-state solution, the majority of respondents (61%) will not accept that Hamas recognize Israel now in exchange for funding. In contrast, 31% want Hamas to recognize Israel immediately to continue receiving international funding as in the past.
  • Only 19% support that money is channeled through the President’s office, and 26% support that an international organization (such as the World Bank) take charge of the disbursement of funding. In contrast, 49% believe that international funding should go directly to the Ministry of Finance without any intermediary.

7. Responsibility for the Crises: everyone is to blame; some more than others

  • 95% say that Israel and the United States have a primary role in the exacerbation of the current crises. · 76% say that the European Union has a primary role in the exacerbation of the current crises.
  • 59% say that Arab countries have a primary role in the exacerbation of the current crises.
  • 33% blame Fateh and Hamas for having a primary role in the exacerbation of the current crises. In contrast, 20% say that Hamas has a moderate role in the crises, while 30% say that Fateh has a moderate role in the crises. In addition, 47% feel that Hamas didn’t contribute to the crises, while 37% say that Fateh didn’t contribute to the crises.

8. Dealing with the Crises: No delivery from anyone!

  • 26% feel that the handling of the current crises by the Ministerial cabinet is (good), while 23% feel that it is (medium) and 43% feel that it is (weak).
  • 23% feel that the handling of the current crises by the Presidential office is (good), while 24% feel that it is (medium) and 46% feel that it is (weak).
  • 21% feel that the handling of the current crises by the Palestinian Legislative Council is (good), while 21% feel that it is (medium) and 46% feel that it is (weak).
  • 15% feel that the handling of the current crises by the NGOs is (good), while 26% feel that it is (medium) and 41% feel that it is (weak).
  • 14% feel that the handling of the current crises by the private sector and banks is (good), while 24% feel that it is (medium) and 46% feel that it is (weak).
  • 13% feel that the handling of the current crises by the political parties is (good), while 21% feel that it is (medium) and 54% feel that it is (weak).
  • 11% feel that the handling of the current crises by international institutions is (good), while 17% feel that it is (medium) and 58% feel that it is (weak).

9. The (Security Force): Conditional Support

  • 49% support the decision by the Minister of Interior to establish a new (security force); while opposition is at 39%.
  • Palestinians are equally split on the issue of establishing a similar force in the West Bank (at 45% on each side).
  • Support for the Minister’s decision to establish such a force declines to 35% if it was not agreed upon by President M. Abbas. Opposition to the establishment of the new force reaches 55% if not supported by President Abbas.

10. Evaluation of Living Conditions and Prospects for Future: Less security; more economic hardship

  • 41% of the respondents feel less secure than they did before the elections of the new PLC and the establishment of the new government. In contrast, 14% feel more secure, and 46% say that nothing has changed.
  • Overall, 31% feel secure for themselves and their families, while 24% feel (somewhat secure), and 46% feel (insecure).
  • 63% say that their household’s income level had declined since the latest PLC elections, while less than 2% say that their income has increased. 35% say that their income level didn’t change.
  • Overall, 16% describe the income level of their families as (good or very good), 36% describe it as (medium). In contrast, 48% describe the economic conditions of their families as (bad or very bad).
  • 64% believe that their families are going through a financial crisis. In addition, 23% believe that their families are going through a financial crisis (to some extent). Only 13% said that they don’t believe that their families are going through such a crisis.
  • 36% say that their families are not able to afford medical services, 31% say that they are unable to afford educational expenses, and 33% cannot afford transportation and communication expenses.
  • 11% cannot afford food expenses, and 9.5% cannot afford rent-related expenses.
  • 17% say that their families have no working breadwinner, while 45% say that they have a breadwinner who works only occasionally. Only 39% have a breadwinner with a stable job.
  • Despite all of the previous indicators, 47% continue to say they feel (optimistic) about the future, and 20% say that they are (somewhat optimistic). In contrast, 32% say that they are pessimistic.

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