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On September 2, there will be yet another dreary peace conference where Palestinians will meekly engage Israelis in direct negotiations to reach an American-brokered settlement of their long conflict as occupier and occupied.

Deja vu? Yes, but there is more at stake this time than there was, say, at the Wye River conference in October 1998 when Benjamin Netanyahu was Israel's prime minister the first time around. In this latest round of negotiations, the Palestinians have put all their chips in the pot. They will have played by the rules, all the rules expected of them by both Israel and the US. Squeezed dry, they have nothing else to offer.

There's wide scepticism, not altogether unjustified, among analysts about this latest round of talks, which have been described as the pairing of "the unwilling with the unable". They should be described more accurately as those between the powerful and the helpless.

Theoretically, a community in struggle first carves out a position for itself in the balance of power, then it goes to the negotiating table to translate it into concessions from the enemy. The more affirmed that position is, the more of your demands will be conceded. (The Vietnamese, as a case in point, knew what they were doing at the Paris Peace Conference in January 1973.)

And the less gains you had scored on the ground in that balance of power, the lesser your chances are of achieving your goals. That is the nature of the diplomatic beast.

No choice

The Palestinans today have no recourse to justice except to depend "on the kindness of strangers" in Washington. They are as weak today as they have been since the outset of their national struggle in the 1920s, failing to turn at turning points in their history, all the way from the Mandate's Peel Commision in 1937 to the United Nations' Partition Plan ten years later.

Blame that, if you're a fatalist, on the teleological spirit of that history, or, if you're a cynic, on inept leaders. It all amounts to the same thing: Palestinians were always left high and dry.

In recent years, bowing to American and Israeli demands, the Palestinian National Authority (PNA) has gone to pathetic extremes to show good faith. Its security forces have constantly cooperated with their Israeli counterparts, virtually wiping out any type of resistance to the occupation.

So-called ‘radical imams' in West Bank mosques have been purged. School teachers suspected of being ‘Hamas sympathisers' have been fired. The curriculum of educational institutions has been changed to reflect a more ‘progressive' view of Jews and their history in modern Palestine.

And for their part, the Arab countries passed an Arab League resolution in 2002 offering Israel recognition, normalisation and rapprochement in exchange for its withdrawal from the occupied territories.

All to no avail.

Officials of the PNA will arrive in the US to sit across from a hardline Netanyahu adamant about "red lines" that he does not want crossed: Occupied Jerusalem will remain under Zionist control, no repatriation of refugees, no uprooting of any of the colonies already established in the occupied territories, and yes, what with the slow but steady loss of land in the West Bank over the last four decades to colonist encroachment, it is now too late for a viable, contiguous Palestinian state to emerge there.

A truncated state, by all means, but not an independent state. In effect, Netanyahu and his delegation will have already closed out any serious option on the "two-state solution". Thus, one need not draw on an arsenal of insight to predict the outcome of this encounter between a powerful occupier, backed by the economic, military and diplomatic resources of a big power, and a helpless, destitute, occupied nation.

Another Arab-Israeli peace conference, sponsored by the United States? Oh, peleeese! One thing is plain: Were it not for US support, Israel would not have stepped on the human rights of the Palestinian people the way it has done all these years.

It is all a columnist could do, writing this column, to stop himself from airing the amused distaste he harbours for all the shop-worn cliches about how the US cares, really cares, honest, about the human rights of the Palestinians, yet this very US was unable to extract a simple pledge from Israeli leaders to stop stealing and colonising these people's land.

On January 20, 1977, Jimmy Carter inaugurated his presidency by defining, in his inaugural speech, America's moral path in the world. "Because we are free, we can never be indifferent to the fate of freedom elsewhere", he said.

"Our commitment to human rights must be absolute". Humbug! Obama said the same thing in a speech in Cairo last year. Double humbug!

Washington can sure talk the talk. But don't, unless you like to bark and fang at its kitschy diplomacy, expect Washington to walk the walk.

Fawaz Turki is a journalist, lecturer and author based in Washington. He is the author of The Disinherited: Journal of a Palestinian Exile.

 
 
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