MIFTAH
Saturday, 18 May. 2024
 
Your Key to Palestine
The Palestinian Initiatives for The Promotoion of Global Dialogue and Democracy
 
 
 

The collective relief and anticipation that accompanied Netanyahu’s political demise and the election of Ehud Barak still seem to persist by providing Barak with a global bubble of good will and a priori blessings. Giving Barak a chance has become the prevailing global wisdom.

It is doubtful, however, that Barak is capable of fulfilling such inflated expectations as to be able to deliver peace on a silver platter.

While the world remains insistent on adopting a lenient stance that “understands” Barak’s domestic constraints (a global refrain whose price the Palestinians were repeatedly asked to pay with every government in Israel), Barak seems to have hijacked the process—both from his Palestinian counterparts and American sponsors as well as from his Israeli coalition partners and constituency.

Very few people question Barak’s determination to pursue and achieve a peace treaty with the Palestinians (and even the Syrians for that matter).

The question is in his vision of “peace” and in his misguided notion that he can single-handedly design a process, control the conduct of negotiations, select the Palestinian negotiators, dictate the substance and the timeframe, redefine the role of the sponsors (the US) and the international community, and impose the outcome unilaterally.

While undertaking such a comprehensive and exclusive responsibility, Barak is also bent on simultaneously pursuing a policy of settlement activity and expansion, Jerusalem annexation and transformation, repressive punitive measures and containment (including killings, house demolitions, ID confiscation, and economic strangulation).

Having modified the transitional agreements, he is maneuvering the implementation in such a way as to maintain control and guarantee consistency with his own version of the outcome of permanent status talks.

Thus the implementation is grudging, excruciatingly painstaking and slow, and minimalist in terms of tangible Palestinian benefits.

The main features of Barak’s reinvention of the peace process have become quite apparent, and they include the following:

The talks are to take place at the highest leadership levels with direct lines of communication between Barak, President Arafat, and President Clinton (when necessary).

Tightly controlled secret channels are to be set up with designated envoys directly selected and trusted by the two leaders and with unhampered access to them.

The timeframe, however unrealistic, can be met by achieving a Framework Agreement by February or March 2000 worked out directly by the two leaders with a little bit of help from Clinton.

Should this Framework Agreement require a presidential US push, then a Camp David style set-up would be established to ensure an accelerated and intensive pace of negotiations.

The concept of this framework will include Barak’s version of reciprocity to put an end to the state of conflict.

This would translate into Barak’s acceptance in principle of Palestinian statehood in exchange for Palestinian concessions on substantive issues.

Such concessions would include relinquishing a sizable portion of West Bank territory (certainly less than the 82% envisaged by Barak’s opening gambit of a Palestinian state on the 18% designated as areas A, but more than the Beilin or Alfer percentages, though consistent with the Allon Plan).

They would also include the Palestinian acceptance of Israeli extraterritoriality in the form of some settlement clusters which would also serve the purpose of carrying out some “border adjustments,” while preventing the territorial unity of the Palestinian state.

The “border adjustments” envisaged by Barak will probably focus on the Jordan Valley (“no foreign army”), on the south-eastern part of the West Bank (west of the Dead Sea), the north-western border of the West Bank, and the Jerusalem area.

Such “adjustments” will also ensure Israeli control over water sources, rights, and distribution.

Barak’s concept also entails maintaining some form of control over crossing points as well as over air space and territorial waters.

The Palestinian refugee question will also be solved within the Israeli concept of host country absorption and rehabilitation or relocation in other countries. Some refugees may be allowed to return to their original homes on a purely humanitarian basis as individual cases within a family reunification plan.

Compensation will be presented as a substitute for the right of return, with precedence over reparations and restitution.

Israel will also seek to control the “demographics” of the Palestinian state itself under the guise of “security” by attempting to maintain a decision-making or veto right about the issuance of passports and the return of displaced persons and refugees to the state.

The Barak approach will also attempt to end Israeli liability in both individual and collective claims.

Despite Barak’s absolutist pronouncements on Jerusalem, it is expected that the “alternative Al-Quds” will be presented in the context of the greatly expanded municipal boundaries of Jerusalem. Functional, municipal tasks may be addressed in the Palestinian part provided Israeli sovereignty and overall control remain intact. Arrangements for religious institutions and holy sites will be made.

In this context, Barak’s allusion to Robert Frost (“Good fences make good neighbors”) as the rationale for his unilateral “separation” plan begins to fall into place as a preemptive implementation of the Israeli version of permanent status.

Given the state of asymmetry and Israeli control, given the drastic state of the Palestinian economy and the consequences of prolonged occupation, and in view of Israel’s control over the crossing points (to Israel and the rest of the world), such a separation is nothing but a collective punitive measure with the inevitable “pressure cooker” effect.

Limited labor admission will not solve the problem, without allowing the Palestinians the right and ability to create alternative employment in an active and sustainable economy that can control its own resources, land, and freedom of movement.

Full separation involves territorial, political, and power severance on the basis of parity—i.e. the two-state solution with no vestiges of manipulation or control. Power politics do not make good neighbors.

It is time for Barak to understand that Palestinians are not seeking a symbolic state or the semblance of statehood at the expense of the substance, land, sovereignty, and rights of this state and its nationals.

His one-sided approach to peace is a perpetuation of conflict and hostilities, with serious ramifications on internal as well as on regional stability.

The vast gap between Barak’s concept of peace and the minimal level of Palestinian rights and legality cannot be solved by a forced or dictated version.

Rather, what has become essential is a critical reassessment by Barak of his whole approach and preconceived notions of this unilateral peace. Unless there is a qualitative and simultaneous attitude and paradigm shift, the gap would remain unbridgeable and peace would become unattainable.

 
 
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