MIFTAH
Saturday, 18 May. 2024
 
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Syrian-Israeli talks may be resumed in the US in two weeks’ time, although Israel’s walk out yesterday from the meeting of the “April Understanding” multilateral monitoring committee may have had an adverse effect on the prospects of an early reconvening of these talks.

Intensive, though low-key, American mediation efforts seem to be bearing fruit.

In a typical (now-you-see-it-now-you-don’t) trick of magic, the US is reportedly producing letters of assurances (or an American version of the talks so far) to be given to each side.

The US also refrained from any public criticism of Israeli military actions, while blaming Hizballah and, indirectly Syria, for the latest escalation.

Thus such non-verbal negotiations, conducted on Lebanese soil as a military form of political negotiations, have taken over.

While the Shepherdstown talks were in action, Hizballah leaders publicly declared their intention to pursue more political forms of resistance, and the occupied zone in south Lebanon remained quiet.

With the suspension of the talks, Hizballah’s resistance resumed its military operations, sending a painful message to the Israeli army and its SLA (South Lebanese Army) collaborators.

Scrupulously abiding by the “April Understanding” that was concluded at the end of the Israeli “Grapes of Wrath” military assault against Lebanon in 1996, Hizballah restricted its activities to the occupied zone in south Lebanon.

It also exclusively targeted military objectives that resulted in the death of the SLA’s second in command, Hashem Aqel, and in the killing of seven Israeli soldiers.

Israeli protests were based on the claim that Hizballah was launching its attacks from civilian areas, in violation of the “April Understanding.”

Under the same pretext, Israel once again launched a massive air strike against Lebanese civilian targets, singling out the infrastructure such as power stations throughout Lebanon.

Thus, it qualitatively shifted the military/political terrain in yet another escalation.

It is no longer the safety of the Israeli northern villages that must be ensured, but the safety of the Israeli occupation army and its quisling SLA.

Never in history has an occupation army been guaranteed a safe and comfortable occupation of other people’s lands.

And there’s the rub. Israel cries “foul” whenever any of its victims dares to resist its occupation or oppression.

Occupation with impunity has been the norm, and the Palestinian people can testify to their double victimization throughout decades.

More significantly, Israel is trying to impose such distortions on the peace process itself.

Demanding guaranteed safety for its occupying army and total submission from its victims as a prerequisite for conducting negotiations is unrealistic and futile.

It succeeded in holding the Palestinian Authority responsible for the personal safety of every Israeli and in making it accountable for any individual act by any Palestinian.

The PA thus found itself negotiating with an additional disadvantage as an authority under probation and with a constant erosion in its domestic credibility and support.

Just as significantly, the peace process itself has become hostage to any act of violence, random or organized, and is exhibiting a built-in weakness in which the rights of the weaker side are being subsumed by the priorities of the stronger.

While the PA finds itself confined within such a peace construct with very little room for maneuver, the Syrian side is using the Lebanese track (and resistance) as a means of strengthening its negotiating hand.

Ironically, the one front that is not subject to UN Resolutions 242 and 338 is the Lebanese front. Resolution 425 is immediately applicable and calls for a full and unconditional withdrawal from the Lebanese territories occupied by Israel in 1978, and 426 provides the mechanisms for such a withdrawal.

Ironically also, Israel has repeatedly asserted that it has no “territorial ambitions” in Lebanon, and that it is willing to withdraw from the so-called “security zone” once it guarantees the safety of its northern villages.

But the question is no longer one of Israeli willingness. With the increased public outcry within Israel, and with persistent demands for withdrawal, remaining in Lebanon has become a form of political suicide for any Israeli government.

Barak’s elections promise to withdraw by July 7, 2000, did not come as a gratuitous expression of good will.

Rather, it is an accurate reading of Israeli public opinion that is reacting to the heavy toll exacted by Israel’s futile continued occupation.

Israel’s military superiority, on land, sea, and by air, could not prevail against the resistance methods adopted by Hizballah.

Nor could the formation of a Lebanese collaborator force or surrogate army, the SLA, save the lives of Israeli soldiers (or SLA officers, for that matter).

Little Lebanon has always been a major pain for the Israeli Goliath.

However, Lebanon is also paying the price of the Syrian-Israeli maneuvers taking place over its head.

Neither Syrian territory nor Syrian nationals are involved in this latest danse macabre being conducted in the region.

Should the Syrian-Israeli talks resume, then one would expect a hiatus in the violent exchange of lethal messages.

Currently, the prevailing atmosphere is that of a political ice age. Talks on the Palestinian track are “frozen” as are the Syrian negotiations.

Implementation of the interim phase agreements have also entered the deep freeze, particularly the withdrawals (of all phases and stages) and the release of prisoners.

The real heat is in settlement activities, air strikes, and the posturing (with a lot of hot air) before domestic constituencies.

It is also in Israeli FM David Levy’s threats to “burn Lebanon” and in the exuberance of Likud leader Ariel Sharon who declared himself to be “happy” with the air strikes and called for more.

What is needed is a thaw in the political process and a cooling down of the violence and the rhetoric.

In the meantime, Israel has the option of getting rid of the Lebanese headache once and for all. It can implement 425 by withdrawing immediately and unconditionally from Lebanon.

Using that as a precedent, it can proceed to implement 242 and 338 and demonstrate compliance with international law and with the requirements of a just peace.

Occupier’s law can never produce safety and stability. Nor can it induce a mass hypnosis or docility among the occupied.

Nor is annexation (of whatever occupied territory) an option.

Full withdrawal is the key to full peace, and that is the magic wand for stability, security, and prosperity in the region.

Peace requires a mild temperature; it also creates a temperate climate.

 
 
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