MIFTAH
Friday, 26 April. 2024
 
Your Key to Palestine
The Palestinian Initiatives for The Promotoion of Global Dialogue and Democracy
 
 
 

There were "great expectations" when President George W. Bush finally called last July for an international meeting to be held in Washington next November to find a final settlement to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the root of all problems in this strategic region. After all, the American president subscribes to a two-state solution, the objective of most Arabs.

But no sooner than all began to examine their cards than they seemed to find the key players are at the edge of another quagmire, not much unlike the one that Charles Dickens's "Pip" fell into after suddenly and inexplicably becoming rich.

He lost his new wealth and opted to return and live with his brother-in-law as he did when as a child he had lost his parents. The fate of the Palestinians may not be much better, considering the recent developments within their ranks and outside.

For a start, the leaders in the midst of this whirling storm that has been devastatingly around for more than 60 years in the region - Bush, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, and Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert - are at the lowest end of the popularity scale.

This alone robs them of any chance of being forthright. And, more significantly and for one reason or another, their days in office are numbered.

The Bush administration has yet to focus fully on the issue. All it has done so far is offer Israel a 25 per cent boost in its military assistance totalling some $30 billion over 10 years to make sure that it maintains its qualitative edge over all the Arab states put together.

But it has yet to publicly announce any other major steps like the appointment of a special task force or a peace envoy to shepherd the negotiations.

More to the point, Condoleezza Rice, the secretary of state, who will preside at the conference is said (by The New York Times) to be speaking "carefully about negotiations on the principles of a final settlement - not the final settlement itself, which will be carried out over many years."

Israel's stance is more foreboding, as illustrated in a recent official action vis-a-vis the "core" issues: refugees, occupied Jerusalem and borders.

This was best demonstrated in a recent land grab in occupied East Jerusalem, an area about 7.5 acres (30 dunums), that followed negotiations between Israel Lands Administration and an Israeli colonisers' non-profit organisation called Ateret Cohanim.

The plot is described as one of the most expensive and desirable Arab areas of the Holy City.

Even Yossi Beilin, the leftist Israeli member of parliament and a former cabinet minister who has long advocated a negotiated settlement, still talks in an article, carried by bitterlemons.org, of "worldwide acceptance of occupied Jerusalem as Israel's capital, recognition of our (unspecified) eastern border, removal of the (Palestinian) refugee issue from our agenda and the safeguarding of a Jewish majority in a democratic Israel."

Israel's Defence Minister, Ehud Barak, has also been quoted in the Israeli press as saying that a peace deal with the Palestinians anytime soon is "fantasy," insisting that Israel would not remove checkpoints from the West Bank for at least several years.

However, the most serious obstacle at present is the division with the Palestinian community, which finds Fatah of President Abbas and Hamas, the Islamist group now controlling the Gaza Strip and led by the ousted prime minister Esmail Haniya, still at loggerheads.

Without any imminent reconciliation between the two, the chances of a settlement is practically nil.

It goes without saying that Abbas cannot afford to make any, repeat any, "concessions", as seems to be the illogical expectations in Israel and the United States, if he is not offered a serious offer that meets the aspirations of all the Palestinian people along the lines of the Arab Peace Initiative.

And such shortsighted actions that led to a general blackout in the Gaza Strip because the European Union has suspended financing of fuel deliveries to the only power plant there would only handcuff Abbas's manoeuvrability.

Henry Siegman, the director of the US/Middle East Project and a former head of the American Jewish Congress, pointed last week in the London Review of Books, that previous peace initiatives "have got nowhere for a reason that neither Bush nor the EU has had the political courage to acknowledge."

He explained, "That reason is the consensus reached long ago by Israel's decision-making elites that Israel will never allow the emergence of a Palestinian state which denies it effective military and economic control of the West Bank."

In other words, he added, Israel "would allow - indeed it would insist on - the creation of a number of isolated enclaves that Palestinians could call a state, but only in order to prevent the creation of a binational state in which Palestinians would be the majority."

If so, these short-lived "great expectations" may wither away.

* An Arab American columnist based in Washington.

 
 
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